Skip to main content

Department of Management

Professor Stephen Disney

Professor Stephen Disney

Professor of Operations Management and Director of the Centre for Simulation, Analytics and Modelling

 S.M.Disney@exeter.ac.uk

 5968

 Streatham Court 0.81

 

Streatham Court, University of Exeter, Rennes Drive, Exeter, EX4 4PU, UK


Overview

Professor Disney is a Professor of Operations Management at the University of Exeter Business School. Previously he worked at Cardiff Business School and recently spent 12 months on Research Leave at the University of California, Los Angeles. Professor Disney has previously held visiting positions at the Chinese University of Hong Kong and at Boston University.

Qualifications

Stephen's PhD was gained from Cardiff University and was titled "The production and inventory control problem in vendor managed inventory supply chains". 

Back to top


Research

Research interests

Professor Disney’s research interests involve the application of control theory and statistical techniques to operations management and supply chain scenarios to investigate their dynamic, stochastic, and economic performance. Stephen has a particular interest in the bullwhip effect, forecasting, and inventory management. Stephen has advised several of the world’s largest corporations on the bullwhip effect and his research has influenced the material flow of at least 1 in every 7 pounds of UK retail sales. He has worked with many companies in the UK, US, and Europe and on supply chains that operate globally.

Stephen is interested in supervising PhD students in the areas outlined above and also topics on supply chain collaboration, MRP nervousness, global dual sourcing, the dynamics of closed-loop supply chains, integer demand, and non-linear supply chain models.

Stephen is currently the Director of the Computer Simulation and Analytical Modelling research center within the Business School.

Research projects

Stephen is currently exploring the dynamics of global dual sourcing supply chains. He is also writing a book entitled “Setting the cadence of your pacemaker: A lean workbook for reducing your Mura and Muri”.

Links


Back to top


Publications

Books

Disney SM, Lambrecht MR (2005). On Replenishment Rules, Forecasting, and the Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chains., Now Publishers.

Journal articles

Gijsbrechts J, Boute R, Disney S, Van Mieghem J (In Press). Volume Flexibility at Responsive Suppliers in Reshoring Decisions: Analysis of a Dual Sourcing Inventory Model. Production and Operations Management Abstract.
Li Q, Gaalman G, Disney SM (2023). On the equivalence of the proportional and damped trend order-up-to policies: an eigenvalue analysis. International Journal of Production Economics, 265
Rostami-Tabar B, Disney S (2023). On the order-up-to policy with intermittent integer demand and logically consistent forecasts. International Journal of Production Economics, 257, 108763-108763. Abstract.
Wang X, Disney S, Ponte B (2023). On the stationary stochastic response of an order-constrained inventory system. European Journal of Operational Research, 304, 543-557. Abstract.
Petropoulos F, Laporte G, Aktas E, Alumur SA, Archetti C, Ayhan H, Battarra M, Bennell JA, Bourjolly J-M, Boylan JE, et al (2023). Operational Research: methods and applications. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 75(3), 423-617.
Boute R, Disney S, Gijsbrechts J, Van Mieghem J (2022). Dual Sourcing and Smoothing under Non-Stationary Demand Time Series: Re-shoring with SpeedFactories. Management Science, 68 (2), 1039-1057.
Gaalman G, Disney SM, Wang X (2022). When bullwhip increases in the lead time: an eigenvalue analysis of ARMA demand. International Journal of Production Economics, 250
Hosoda T, Disney S, Zhou L (2021). The yield rate paradox in closed-loop supply chains. International Journal of Production Economics, 239, 108187-108187.
Disney S, Ponte B, Wang X (2020). Exploring the nonlinear dynamics of the lost-sales order-up-to policy. International Journal of Production Research, 59 (19), 5809-5830.
Michna Z, Disney SM, Nielsen P (2020). The impact of stochastic lead times on the bullwhip effect under correlated demand and moving average forecasts. Omega, 93, 102033-102033.
Hedenstierna CPT, Disney SM, Eyers DR, Holmström J, Syntetos AA, Wang X (2019). Economies of collaboration in build-to-model operations. Journal of Operations Management, 65, 753-773. Abstract.
Petropoulos F, Wang X, Disney SM (2019). The inventory performance of forecasting methods: Evidence from the M3 competition data. International Journal of Forecasting, 35(1), 251-265. Abstract.
Hosoda T, Disney SM (2018). A unified theory of the dynamics of closed-loop supply chains. European Journal of Operational Research, 269(1), 313-326.
Hedenstierna CPT, Disney SM (2018). Avoiding the capacity cost trap: Three means of smoothing under cyclical production planning. International Journal of Production Economics, 201, 149-162. Abstract.
Chintapalli P, Disney SM, Tang CS (2017). Coordinating Supply Chains via Advance-Order Discounts, Minimum Order Quantities, and Delegations. Production and Operations Management, 26(12), 2175-2186. Abstract.
Ponte B, Wang X, de la Fuente D, Disney SM (2017). Exploring nonlinear supply chains: the dynamics of capacity constraints. International Journal of Production Research, 55(14), 4053-4067. Abstract.
Syntetos AA, Boylan JE, Disney SM (2017). Forecasting for inventory planning: a 50-year review. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 60(sup1), S149-S160.
Wang X, Disney SM (2017). Mitigating variance amplification under stochastic lead-time: the proportional control approach. European Journal of Operational Research, 256(1), 151-162.
Li Q, Disney SM (2017). Revisiting rescheduling: MRP nervousness and the bullwhip effect. International Journal of Production Research, 55(7), 1992-2012. Abstract.
Zhou L, Naim MM, Disney SM (2017). The impact of product returns and remanufacturing uncertainties on the dynamic performance of a multi-echelon closed-loop supply chain. International Journal of Production Economics, 183, 487-502. Abstract.
Disney SM, Maltz A, Wang X, Warburton RDH (2016). Inventory management for stochastic lead times with order crossovers. European Journal of Operational Research, 248(2), 473-486.
Hedenstierna CPT, Disney SM (2016). Inventory performance under staggered deliveries and autocorrelated demand. European Journal of Operational Research, 249(3), 1082-1091.
Disney SM (2016). Revisiting activity sampling: a fresh look at binomial proportion confidence intervals. European Journal of Industrial Engineering, 10(6), 724-759. Abstract.
Lun YHV, Quaddus M, Naim M, Disney S (2016). Special issue on "innovative service and manufacturing design". International Journal of Production Economics, 171, 163-164.
Wang X, Disney SM (2016). The bullwhip effect: Progress, trends and directions. European Journal of Operational Research, 250(3), 691-701.
Disney SM, Gaalman GJC, Hedenstierna CPT, Hosoda T (2015). Fill rate in a periodic review order-up-to policy under auto-correlated normally distributed, possibly negative, demand. International Journal of Production Economics, 170, 501-512. Abstract.
Disney SM, Naim MM, Williams SJ, Nussey I, Grubbstrom RW (2015). In Memoriam: Professor Denis R. Towill 1933-2015. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PRODUCTION ECONOMICS, 170, III-V.  Author URL.
Piboonrungroj P, Disney SM (2015). Supply chain collaboration in tourism: a transaction cost economics analysis. International Journal of Supply Chain Management, 4(3), 25-31. Abstract.
Hosoda T, Disney SM, Gavirneni S (2015). The impact of information sharing, random yield, correlation, and lead times in closed loop supply chains. European Journal of Operational Research, 246(3), 827-836. Abstract.
Boute RN, Disney SM, Lambrecht MR, Houdt BV (2014). Coordinating lead times and safety stocks under autocorrelated demand. European Journal of Operational Research, 232(1), 52-63.
Wang X, Disney SM, Wang J (2014). Exploring the oscillatory dynamics of a forbidden returns inventory system. International Journal of Production Economics, 147, 3-12.
Disney SM, Warburton RDH, Zhong QC (2013). Net present value analysis of the economic production quantity. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 24(4), 423-435.
Hosoda T, Disney SM (2012). A delayed demand supply chain: Incentives for upstream players. Omega, 40(4), 478-487.
Disney SM, Warburton RDH (2012). On the Lambert W function: Economic Order Quantity applications and pedagogical considerations. International Journal of Production Economics, 140(2), 756-764.
Hosoda T, Disney SM (2012). On the replenishment policy when the market demand information is lagged. International Journal of Production Economics, 135(1), 458-467.
Disney SM, Bogataj M, Tang O (2012). Sixteenth international working seminar on production economics, Innsbruck, 2010. International Journal of Production Economics, 140(2), 557-558.
Wang X, Disney SM, Wang J (2012). Stability analysis of constrained inventory systems with transportation delay. European Journal of Operational Research, 223(1), 86-95.
Childerhouse P, Deakins E, Böhme T, Towill DR, Disney SM, Banomyong R (2011). Supply chain integration: an international comparison of maturity. Asia Pacific Journal of Marketing and Logistics, 23(4), 531-552. Abstract.
Zhou L, Disney S, Towill DR (2010). A pragmatic approach to the design of bullwhip controllers. International Journal of Production Economics, 128(2), 556-568.
Ketokivi M, Heikkilä J (2010). A strategic management system for manufacturing: linking action to performance. Production Planning & Control, 14(6), 487-486.
Cannella S, Ciancimino E, Framinan JM, Disney SM (2010). The four supply chain archetypes. Universia Business Review, 26, 134-149. Abstract.
Disney SM, Hosoda T (2009). Altruistic behaviour in a two-echelon supply chain with unmatched proportional feedback controllers. International Journal of Intelligent Systems Technologies and Applications, 6(3-4), 269-286. Abstract.
Boute RN, Disney SM, Lambrecht MR, Van Houdt B (2009). Designing replenishment rules in a two-echelon supply chain with a flexible or an inflexible capacity strategy. International Journal of Production Economics, 119(1), 187-198.
Disney S (2009). Editorial for the special issue: papers from the 19th international conference on production research. International Journal of Logistics Research and Applications, 12(4), 231-232.
Hosoda T, Disney SM (2009). Impact of market demand mis-specification on a two-level supply chain. International Journal of Production Economics, 121(2), 739-751.
HOSODA T, DISNEY SM (2009). On a Myth in Supply Chain Management(Industrial Management). 日本経営工学会論文誌, 59(6), 431-436.
Hosoda T, Disney SM (2009). On a myth in supply chain management. Journal of Japan Industrial Management Association, 59(6), 431-436. Abstract.
Gaalman G, Disney SM (2009). On bullwhip in a family of order-up-to policies with ARMA(2,2) demand and arbitrary lead-times. International Journal of Production Economics, 121(2), 454-463.
Childerhouse P, Disney SM, Towill DR (2009). The effects of schedule volatility on supply chain performance. International Journal of Logistics Research and Applications, 12(4), 313-328.
Potter A, Towill D, Böhme T, Disney S (2009). The influence of multi-product production strategy on factory induced bullwhip. International Journal of Production Research, 47(20), 5739-5759.
Boute RN, Disney SM, Lambrecht MR, Van Houdt B (2008). A win–win solution for the bullwhip problem. Production Planning & Control, 19(7), 702-711.
Hosoda T, Naim MM, Disney SM, Potter A (2008). Is there a benefit to sharing market sales information? Linking theory and practice. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 54(2), 315-326.
Towill DR, Disney SM (2008). Managing Bullwhip-induced risks in supply chains. International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management, 10(3), 238-238.
Childerhouse P, Disney SM, Towill DR (2008). On the impact of order volatility in the European automotive sector. International Journal of Production Economics, 114(1), 2-13.
Disney SM (2008). Supply chain aperiodicity, bullwhip and stability analysis with Jury's inners. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 19(2), 101-116.
III AL, Childerhouse P, Disney SM, Towill DR, McCormack K (2008). The impact of process maturity and uncertainty on supply chain performance: an empirical study. International Journal of Manufacturing Technology and Management, 15(1), 12-12.
Disney SM, Lambrecht M, Towill DR, Van de Velde W (2008). The value of coordination in a two-echelon supply chain. IIE Transactions, 40(3), 341-355.
Boute RN, Disney SM, Lambrecht MR, Van Houdt B (2007). An integrated production and inventory model to dampen upstream demand variability in the supply chain. European Journal of Operational Research, 178(1), 121-142.
Disney SM, Farasyn I, Lambrecht MR, Towill DR, Van De Velde W (2007). Controlling bullwhip and inventory variability with the golden smoothing rule. European Journal of Industrial Engineering, 1(3), 241-265. Abstract.
Disney. SM, Grubbström RW (2007). Economic consequences of a production and inventory control policy. International Journal of Production Research, 42(17), 3419-3431.
Warburton RDH, Disney SM (2007). Order and inventory variance amplification: the equivalence of discrete and continuous time analyses. International Journal of Production Economics, 110(1-2), 128-137.
Towill DR, Zhou L, Disney SM (2007). Reducing the bullwhip effect: Looking through the appropriate lens. International Journal of Production Economics, 108(1-2), 444-453.
Childerhouse. P, Disney SM, Towill DR (2007). Tailored toolkit to enable seamless supply chains. International Journal of Production Research, 42(17), 3627-3646.
Warburton RDH, Disney SM, Towill DR, Hodgson JPE (2007). Technical Note: Further insights into ‘the stability of supply chains’. International Journal of Production Research, 42(3), 639-648.
Chen YF, Disney SM (2007). The myopic Order-Up-To policy with a proportional feedback controller. International Journal of Production Research, 45(2), 351-368.
Disney SM, Towill DR (2006). A methodology for benchmarking replenishment‐induced bullwhip. Supply Chain Management: an International Journal, 11(2), 160-168. Abstract.
Potter A, Disney SM (2006). Bullwhip and batching: an exploration. International Journal of Production Economics, 104(2), 408-418.
Lalwani CS, Disney SM, Towill DR (2006). Controllable, observable and stable state space representations of a generalized order-up-to policy. International Journal of Production Economics, 101(1), 172-184.
Hayya JC, Kim JG, Disney SM, Harrison TP, Chatfield D (2006). Estimation in supply chain inventory management. International Journal of Production Research, 44(7), 1313-1330.
Lalwani CS, Disney SM, Naim MM (2006). On assessing the sensitivity to uncertainty in distribution network design. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, 36(1), 5-21. Abstract.
Geary S, Disney SM, Towill DR (2006). On bullwhip in supply chains—historical review, present practice and expected future impact. International Journal of Production Economics, 101(1), 2-18.
Disney SM, Towill DR, Warburton RDH (2006). On the equivalence of control theoretic, differential, and difference equation approaches to modeling supply chains. International Journal of Production Economics, 101(1), 194-208.
Hosoda T, Disney SM (2006). On variance amplification in a three-echelon supply chain with minimum mean square error forecasting. Omega, 34(4), 344-358.
Gaalman G, Disney SM (2006). State space investigation of the bullwhip problem with ARMA(1,1) demand processes. International Journal of Production Economics, 104(2), 327-339.
Disney SM, Farasyn I, Lambrecht M, Towill DR, de Velde WV (2006). Taming the bullwhip effect whilst watching customer service in a single supply chain echelon. European Journal of Operational Research, 173(1), 151-172.
Hosoda T, Disney SM (2006). The governing dynamics of supply chains: the impact of altruistic behaviour. Automatica, 42(8), 1301-1309.
Zhou L, Xu SJ, Disney SM (2005). Analysis and optimization of inventory variance and bullwhip in a manufacturing/remanufacturing system. Shanghai Jiaotong Daxue Xuebao/Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University, 39(10), 1587-1591. Abstract.
Zhou L, Disney SM (2005). Bullwhip and inventory variance in a closed loop supply chain. OR Spectrum, 28(1), 127-149.
Disney SM, Towill DR (2005). Eliminating drift in inventory and order based production control systems. International Journal of Production Economics, 93-94, 331-344.
Disney SM, Lambrecht MR (2005). On Replenishment Rules, Forecasting, and the Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chains. Foundations and Trends® in Technology, Information and Operations Management, 2(1), 1-80.
Holweg M, Disney S, Holmström J, Småros J (2005). Supply Chain Collaboration:. European Management Journal, 23(2), 170-181.
Disney SM, Naim MM, Potter A (2004). Assessing the impact of e-business on supply chain dynamics. International Journal of Production Economics, 89(2), 109-118.
Dejonckheere J, Disney SM, Lambrecht MR, Towill DR (2004). The impact of information enrichment on the Bullwhip effect in supply chains: a control engineering perspective. European Journal of Operational Research, 153(3), 727-750.
Holweg M, Disney SM, Hines P, Naim MM (2004). Towards responsive vehicle supply: a simulation‐based investigation into automotive scheduling systems. Journal of Operations Management, 23(5), 507-530. Abstract.
Disney SM, Towill DR, van de Velde W (2004). Variance amplification and the golden ratio in production and inventory control. International Journal of Production Economics, 90(3), 295-309.
Towill DR, Lambrecht MR, Disney SM, Dejonckheere J (2003). Explicit filters and supply chain design. Journal of Purchasing and Supply Management, 9(2), 73-81.
Maull RS, Maull W, Tranfield D (2003). Factors characterising the maturity of BPR programmes. International Journal of Operations & Production Management, 23(6), 596-624.
Dejonckheere J, Disney SM, Lambrecht MR, Towill DR (2003). Measuring and avoiding the bullwhip effect: a control theoretic approach. European Journal of Operational Research, 147(3), 567-590.
Disney SM, Towill DR (2003). On the bullwhip and inventory variance produced by an ordering policy. Omega, 31(3), 157-167.
Dejonckheere J, Disney SM, Lambrecht M, Towill DR (2003). The dynamics of aggregate planning. Production Planning and Control, 14(6), 497-516. Abstract.
Disney SM, Towill DR (2003). The effect of vendor managed inventory (VMI) dynamics on the Bullwhip Effect in supply chains. International Journal of Production Economics, 85(2), 199-215.
Disney SM, Potter AT, Gardner BM (2003). The impact of vendor managed inventory on transport operations. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 39(5), 363-380.
Disney SM, Towill DR (2003). Vendor-managed inventory and bullwhip reduction in a two-level supply chain. International Journal of Operations and Production Management, 23(5-6), 625-651. Abstract.
Disney SM, Towill DR (2002). A discrete transfer function model to determine the dynamic stability of a vendor managed inventory supply chain. International Journal of Production Research, 40(1), 179-204.
Disney SM, Towill DR (2002). A procedure for the optimization of the dynamic response of a Vendor Managed Inventory system. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 43(1-2), 27-58.
Naim MM, Childerhouse P, Disney SM, Towill DR (2002). A supply chain diagnostic methodology: determining the vector of change. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 43(1-2), 135-157.
Towill DR, Childerhouse P, Disney SM (2002). Integrating the automotive supply chain: Where are we now?. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, 32(2), 79-95. Abstract.
Dejonckheere J, Disney SM, Lambrecht MR, Towill DR (2002). Transfer function analysis of forecasting induced bullwhip in supply chains. International Journal of Production Economics, 78(2), 133-144.
Disney SM, Naim MM, Towill DR (2000). Genetic algorithm optimisation of a class of inventory control systems. International Journal of Production Economics, 68(3), 259-278.
Towill DR, Childerhouse P, Disney SM (2000). Speeding up the progress curve towards effective supply chain management. Supply Chain Management: an International Journal, 5(3), 122-130. Abstract.
Hong-Minh SM, Disney SM, Naim MM (2000). The dynamics of emergency transhipment supply chains. International Journal of Physical Distribution and Logistics Management, 30(9), 788-815. Abstract.
Hammant J, Disney SM, Childerhouse P, Naim MM (1999). Modelling the consequences of a strategic supply chain initiative of an automotive aftermarket operation. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, 29(9), 535-550. Abstract.
Disney SM, Naim MM, Towill DR (1997). Dynamic simulation modelling for lean logistics. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, 27(3-4), 174-196.

Chapters

Naim M, Disney S, Towill D (2023). Supply Chain Dynamics. In  (Ed) Understanding Supply Chains, Oxford University Press (OUP), 109-132.
Hedenstrierna, CPT, Disney S, Holmstrom, J (2020). Service levels in make-to-order production: 3D printing applications. In Eyers D (Ed) Managing 3D Printing: Operations Management for Additive Manufacturing, Palgrave Macmillan. Abstract.
Holmstrőm J, Småros J, Disney SM, Towill DR (2016). Collaborative Supply Chain Configurations: the Implications for Supplier Performance in Production and Inventory Control. In  (Ed) Developments in Logistics and Supply Chain Management, Springer Nature, 27-37.
Potter A, Lalwani C, Disney S, Velho H (2016). Modelling the Impact of Factory Gate Pricing on Transport and Logistics. In  (Ed) Developments in Logistics and Supply Chain Management, Springer Nature, 231-239.
Hosoda T, Disney SM (2009). A Generalized Order-Up-To Policy and Altruistic Behaviour in a Three-Level Supply Chain. In  (Ed) Supply Chain Management and Knowledge Management, Springer Nature, 190-213.
Strohhecker SV, Disney S, Naim M, Ballard G (2009). Commentary I. In  (Ed) Construction Supply Chain Management Handbook, Taylor & Francis.
Hosoda T, Disney SM (2008). A generalized order-up-to policy and altruistic behaviour in a three-level supply chain. In  (Ed) Supply Chain Management and Knowledge Management: Integrating Critical Perspectives in Theory and Practice, 190-213.
Strohhecker S, Disney SM, Naim MM (2008). Understanding supply chain dynamics via simulation. In  (Ed) Construction Supply Chain Management Handbook. Abstract.
Potter A, Towill D, Disney SM (2007). Integrating Transport into Supply Chains: Vendor Managed Inventory (VMI). In  (Ed) Trends in Supply Chain Design and Management, Springer Nature, 331-344.

Conferences

Li Q, Gaalman G, Disney S (2024). Dynamic analysis of the damped trend proportional order-up-to policy. 23rd International Working Seminar of Production Economics. 14th Mar - 18th Feb 2024. Abstract.
Hosoda T, Disney S, Gaalman G (2024). Global dual sourcing: ARMA(1,1) market demand and its decomposition. 23rd International Working Seminar of Production Economics. 14th Feb - 18th Mar 2024. Abstract.
Eyers D, Huang Y, Soroka A, Syntetos A, Lahy A, Disney S (2023). Pop-Up Production: Flexible Capacity Deployment in Additive Manufacturing for Short-Term Opportunistic Production. 30th EurOMA Conference. 3rd - 5th Jul 2023. Abstract.
Hosoda T, Disney S, Gaalman G (2023). 自己相関を持つ価格モデルと線形需要モデルによるサプライチェーンのダイナミクスと経済性. (Supply chain dynamics and economics based on autocorrelated price models and linear demand models). Japan Industrial Management Association 2023 Spring Conference. 3rd Jun - 4th Apr 2023. Abstract.
Bermudez Bermejo DE, Naim MM, Disney S (2022). An integrative visual multifactor analysis of payment system stakeholders strategic reports. 29th European Operations Management Association Annual Conference. 1st - 6th Jul 2022. Abstract.
Hosoda T, Disney S, Gaalman G (2022). Impact of correlated price sensitive demand on the dynamics and economics of supply chains. 6th World Conference on Production and Operations Management. 23rd - 25th Aug 2022. Abstract.
Li Q, Gaalman G, Disney S (2022). On the equivalence of the proportional and damped trend order-up-to policies: an eigenvalue analysis. 22nd International Working Seminar on Production Economics. 21st - 25th Feb 2022. Abstract.
Rostami-Tabar B, Disney S (2022). On the order-up-to policy with intermittent integer demand and coherent forecasts. 22nd International Working Seminar on Production Economics. 21st - 25th Feb 2022. Abstract.
Hosoda T, Disney S, Zhou L (2020). Challenges within closed-loop supply chains: Remedies for the conflict between sustainability and system-wide cost. 21st International Working Seminar of Production Economics. 24th - 28th Feb 2020. Abstract.
Boute R, Disney S, Van Mieghem J (2020). Global dual sourcing under correlated demand. 21st International Working Seminar of Production Economics. 24th - 28th Feb 2020. Abstract.
Gijsbrechts J, Boute R, Disney S, Van Meighem J (2020). Local supply inflexibility in dual-source supply chains: Optimal policy and cost implications. 21st International Working Seminar of Production Economics. 24th - 28th Feb 2020. Abstract.
Disney SM, Ponte B, Wang X (2019). The Nonlinear Dynamics of Order-Up-To Inventory Systems with Lost Sales.  Author URL.
Gaalman G, Disney SM, Wang X (2019). When the Bullwhip Effect is an Increasing Function of the Lead Time.  Author URL.
Rostami-Tabar B, Disney SM (2017). The bullwhip effect under count time series: the case of first order integer auto-regressive demand processes. Abstract.
Li Q, Disney S (2016). On net stock amplification in the Damped Trend Order-Up-To system. Abstract.
Wang X, Disney SM (2016). Reducing order and inventory variability under stochastic lead-time and correlated demand. Abstract.
Li Q, Disney SM, Gaalman G (2014). Avoiding the bullwhip effect using Damped Trend forecasting and the Order-Up-To replenishment policy. Abstract.
Wang X, Disney SM (2011). Stability analysis of a constrained inventory system. Abstract.
Disney SM, Warburton RDH, Zhong QC (2010). Net present value analysis of the economic production quantity. Abstract.
Ratanachote P-N, Disney S (2009). Distribution network dynamics with correlated demands. 16th EurOMA Annual Conference. 14th - 17th Jun 2009. Abstract.
Syntetos AA, Boylan JE, Disney SM (2008). Inventory forecasting and planning: a 50-year review. Abstract.
Ratanachote P-N, Disney S (2008). On the square root law for bullwhip: the case of arbitrary lead-times and AR(1) demand. Pre-prints of the 15th International Working Seminar of Production Economics. 3rd - 7th Mar 2008. Abstract.
Disney SM (2007). The dynamics of material flows in supply chains. Abstract.
Zhou L, Disney SM, Lalwani CS, Wu HL (2004). Reverse logistics: a study of bullwhip in continuous time. Abstract.
Naim MM, Disney SM, Evans GN (2002). Minimum Reasonable Inventory and the Bullwhip Effect in an Automotive Enterprise; a “Foresight Vehicle” Demonstrator. SAE 2002 World Congress &. Exhibition.
Disney SM, Towill DR (2001). A linear pic system that can operate in a non-linear world.  Author URL.

Back to top


External Engagement and Impact

Awards and Honours

  • Stephen was awarded a University of Exeter Business School Teaching Award, Department Winner for his teaching on the Maths and Statistics in Business Analytics module in June 2023.
  • My paper (with Borja Ponte and Xun Wang) entitled “The nonlinear dynamics of order-up-to inventory systems with lost sales”, won a Commended Paper Award at the International Federation of Automatic Control, 8th Manufacturing, Modelling, Management and Control Conference in August 2019.
  • My project with Lexmark was recognized with a prize in the supply Chain Leadership category of Frost and Sullivan's Manufacturing Leadership Awards in 2014. 

External positions

Stephen is currently an:

  • Special Issue Guest Editor for the Journal of Operations Management (JOM).
  • Associate Editor of the IMA Journal of Management Mathematics (IMA-MM).
  • Editorial Board Member of the European Journal of Operational Research (EJOR).
  • Editorial Board Member of the International Journal of Production Economics (IJPE).
  • Editorial Board Member of the International Journal of Applied Management Science (IJAMS).
  • Editorial Review Board Member of the Journal of Business Logistics (JBL).

Stephen was recently an External Examiner at Said Business School, Oxford University, UK for their MBA course.


Invited lectures

  • Invited Seminar at the University of Bath, School of Management, UK. "On the transition from make-to-stock to make-to-order", Sept 2023. 
  • Invited Seminar at the Glorious Sun School of Business and Management, Donghua University, Shanghai, CHINA, "On the transition from make-to-stock to make-to-order", Sept 2023.
  • Invited Tutorial at the International Society for Inventory Research Summer School, Cardiff, UK, "Discrete control theory for inventory management: A tutorial", July 2023.
  • Panel member at the 33rd Annual POMS-Conference, Orlando, USA, "Meet the Editors session in the Inventory and Logistics track", May 2023.
  • Invited Presentation at the World Intelligent Manufacturing Summit, Nanjing, CHINA, "Global dual sourcing with SpeedFactories: The case of correlated demand", Nov 2022.
  • Invited Seminar to the Logistics Systems Dynamics Group at Cardiff Business School,
    Cardiff University, UK. "On the order-up-to policy with intermittent integer demand and coherent forecasts", Jan 2022.
  • SpeedFactories: Global dual sourcing under correlated demand, OR Seminar Series at The University of Exeter, College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences,  University of  Exeter, UK, Jan 2021.
  • Discrete Control Theory, International Society of Inventory Research Summer School, KULeuven, Belgium, August 2019.

Back to top


Teaching

My office hours with my students on Mondays 9.00am-11.00am.  My office is 0.81, Streatham Court

In the past I have taught the following courses at Cardiff University:

  • Operations Management
  • Project Management
  • Operations Analytics (Masters)
  • Logistics and Transport Modelling (Undergraduate and Masters)
  • Supply Chain Modelling (Masters, service teaching for the Mathematics Department)
  • Operations Analysis (MBA, Exec MBA, and Part-time MBA)
  • Lean Operations (Exec MBA, and Part-time MBA)

I have also taught the following courses at Boston University, USA:

  • Project Management (Undergraduate)
  • Global Services and Supply Chain Management (Masters)
  • Quantitative and Qualitative Decision Making (Online Masters)

I also deliver executive training; for example:

  • Lexmark (Supply Chain Dynamics)
  • Yeo Valley (Dynamic Value Stream Mapping)
  • UK Intellectual Property Office (Operations Management)
  • ACME Automotive Industry of India (Dynamic Value Stream Mapping)

I have recently developed a 1-2 day course for Exec-Ed delivery entitled “Setting the cadence of your pacemaker”. The course shows you how to use dynamic value stream mapping to solve the bullwhip problem. Topics covered include replenishment strategy selection, forecasting, designing replenishment decisions, detailed scheduling, and supplier MRP.

Modules

2023/24


Back to top


Supervision / Group

Postgraduate researchers

  • Yogendra Singh
  • Qing Zhu Visiting PhD Student, funded by the China Scholarship Council

Back to top


Office Hours:

Mondays 9.00-11.00.

Back to top


Edit Profile