The Exeter Prize 2016 Workshop
"Information Aggregation and the Wisdom of the Crowds"

Monday 17th October - Northcote House Council Chamber (Senate Room)

Funded by the BID Cluster at the University of Exeter Business School

The winners of the Exeter Prize 2016 for Research in Experimental Economics, Decision Theory and Behavioral Economics are David V. Budescu (Fordham University) and Eva Chen (University of Pennsylvania) for their paper “Identifying Expertise to Extract the Wisdom of the Crowds”, Management Science, 61(2), 2015, 267-280.

Photo gallery

Timetable

Time

Detail

08.30 – 09.00

Registration and Refreshments

09.00 – 09.25 Award Presentation from Prof. David Allen, Pro-Vice Chancellor and Dean of the Business School
09.25 – 10.25

Eva Chen (University of Pennsylvania) and David Budescu (Fordham University)
“Aggregating Information by harnessing the Wisdom of Crowds”

10.25 – 10.45

Refreshment break

10.45 – 11.15 Willy Aspinall (Bristol and Aspinall & Associates)
“Identifying Experts in Uncertainty Using Cooke’s Classical Model”
11.15 – 11.45 Alessio Ishizaka (University of Portsmouth)
“Visualisation of Dynamic Group Decisions”
12.00 – 13.15

Lunch at Reed Hall

13.15 – 13.45 Todd Kaplan (University of Exeter)
“Information Aggregation in Arrow-Debreu Security Markets”
13.45 – 14.15 Stefan Herzog (Max Planck Institute)
“Around Nine: The Wisdom of Small Crowds”
14.15 – 14.30

Refreshment break

14.30 – 15.00 Surajeet Chakravarty (University of Exeter)
“The Benefits of Costly Voting”
15.00 – 15.30 Nigel Harvey (UCL)
“Judgmental forecasting from time series subject to systematic perturbation: Providing statistical forecasts reduces accuracy”
15.30 – 16.00 David Budescu (Fordham University)
Aggregating Probability Intervals to improves their Calibration
16.00 – 16.05 Closing Remarks
19.00

Dinner at Southernhay House