Before joining Exeter in September 2006, Prof Bill Peng taught at both undergraduate and postgraduate level at Lancaster University. Prior to his doctoral studies, he worked with Arthur Andersen in China. His research interests are in market-based accounting and accounting-based equity valuation.
Nationality: Chinese
Administrative responsibilities
- Programme Director of MSc Accounting and Finance
- Workload Allocation Model (WAM) Co-ordinator (Accounting)
- Member, Education Strategy Group
Qualifications
- BA Economics (China), MSc (Lancaster), PhD (Lancaster)
- Chartered Financial Analyst
Research clusters
Research interests
- Accounting-based equity valuation models
- The role of accounting numbers in firm valuation
Dr Peng's research investigates specifically the link between value and accounting numbers, by integrating the theory of valuation and the practice of financial statement analysis. Specifically, he examines the performance of alternative accounting-based valuation models and investigates how accounting variables relate to stock prices and returns. He also explores the ways in which accounting information may be used to estimate a company's risk premium.
Research projects
- Valuation performance and determinants of price multiples
- Relative usefulness of accounting numbers in firm valuation at entity and equity level
Key publications | Publications by category | Publications by year
Key publications
Peng BJ (2009). Valuation anchors and premium multiples: a return-prediction analysis.
Abstract:
Valuation anchors and premium multiples: a return-prediction analysis
This paper examines the performance of the different versions of the generalized comparable-multiples-based valuation method by reference to their ability to predict future returns (i.e. to detect mis-pricing). In contrast to the previous studies, which usually look at the market price or the adjusted market price in the evaluation of the different valuation methods, this research focuses on the post-valuation-date returns from the stocks. In particular, this study measures the raw and abnormal returns from quintile portfolios constructed by reference to the value-to-price ratio, where value is calculated by a range of valuation methods, including the generalized comparable-multiples-based valuation methods (with the conventional price multiples as special cases), the weighted-average models based on earnings and book value, as well as the Residual Income Valuation Model (RIVM) and its equivalent Abnormal Earnings Growth Model (AEGM). If the valuation methods deliver better estimates for the intrinsic value of equity than the current stock price, then a lower (higher) value-to-price ratio would be associated with lower (higher) post-valuation-date returns. I evaluate the performance of the different valuation methods by comparing the returns from the hedge portfolios, defined as the portfolios with a long position in the high value-to-price firms and a short position in the low value-to-price firms. I measure the raw returns and risk-adjusted abnormal returns from the portfolios. The comparison of post-valuation-date returns is done at both the aggregate pooled sample level and a finer nine-industry sub-samples level. It is found that capitalized forward earnings as the valuation anchor has higher return predictability than other stand-alone methods, i.e. the book value of equity, capitalized trailing earnings valuation anchor and RIVM (AEGM). The weighted-average models based on book value and earnings produce average performance. Among the comparables-based valuation methods, it is shown that value estimates produced by the generalized comparable-multiples-based valuation methods using two different value drivers have higher return predictive power than that of the conventional price multiples, especially over longer horizons. The generalized comparable-multiples-based valuation methods with the combination of book value of equity and earnings, especially forward earnings, are found to perform the best in detecting mis-pricing.
Abstract.
Author URL.
Full text.
Publications by year
2009
Peng BJ (2009). Valuation anchors and premium multiples: a return-prediction analysis.
Abstract:
Valuation anchors and premium multiples: a return-prediction analysis
This paper examines the performance of the different versions of the generalized comparable-multiples-based valuation method by reference to their ability to predict future returns (i.e. to detect mis-pricing). In contrast to the previous studies, which usually look at the market price or the adjusted market price in the evaluation of the different valuation methods, this research focuses on the post-valuation-date returns from the stocks. In particular, this study measures the raw and abnormal returns from quintile portfolios constructed by reference to the value-to-price ratio, where value is calculated by a range of valuation methods, including the generalized comparable-multiples-based valuation methods (with the conventional price multiples as special cases), the weighted-average models based on earnings and book value, as well as the Residual Income Valuation Model (RIVM) and its equivalent Abnormal Earnings Growth Model (AEGM). If the valuation methods deliver better estimates for the intrinsic value of equity than the current stock price, then a lower (higher) value-to-price ratio would be associated with lower (higher) post-valuation-date returns. I evaluate the performance of the different valuation methods by comparing the returns from the hedge portfolios, defined as the portfolios with a long position in the high value-to-price firms and a short position in the low value-to-price firms. I measure the raw returns and risk-adjusted abnormal returns from the portfolios. The comparison of post-valuation-date returns is done at both the aggregate pooled sample level and a finer nine-industry sub-samples level. It is found that capitalized forward earnings as the valuation anchor has higher return predictability than other stand-alone methods, i.e. the book value of equity, capitalized trailing earnings valuation anchor and RIVM (AEGM). The weighted-average models based on book value and earnings produce average performance. Among the comparables-based valuation methods, it is shown that value estimates produced by the generalized comparable-multiples-based valuation methods using two different value drivers have higher return predictive power than that of the conventional price multiples, especially over longer horizons. The generalized comparable-multiples-based valuation methods with the combination of book value of equity and earnings, especially forward earnings, are found to perform the best in detecting mis-pricing.
Abstract.
Author URL.
Full text.
External positions
- Member of the British Accounting Association
- Member of the Institute of Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA)
- Member of the CFA Society of the UK
- Financial Accounting
- Financial Management
- Financial Statement Analysis and Equity Valuation
In Financial Accounting, Dr Peng introduces students to accounting from a preparer's perspective, giving them a broad understanding of the preparation of financial statements. These financial statements are the basis for a wide range of business analyses in Financial Statement Analysis and Equity Valuation. In Financial Management, Dr Peng discusses how to make decisions that increase the market value of the business.
Modules
2017/18
